Here are my predictions for week two. Apologies if they are all relatively negative.
Sale of homes and downward pressure on housing.
If the expected number of job cuts coming, possibly 2 million this week, according to Goldman Sachs, then the Federal Government’s help is not going to be enough. Many families have acquired $1MM+ homes that require two salaries to pay the mortgage. If in a month, it is a one-income family, the squeeze will be on. While programs may defer interest or payments, ultimately, the ownership of these homes is not sustainable, and many will come on the market. Also, with the sudden increase in deaths as seen in Italy, States with a large elderly population may see increased housing stock on the market. Thus, I expect values to fall over the next 12 months. Will falling house prices and a large inventory of housing becoming available, construction of new homes will be limited. Also, the effects of this will drive more people to rent rather than buy, which will further change the U.S. homeownership landscape.
Coronavirus: The nail in Globalization’s coffin.
Following on the President’s drive for America first, there is a realization of our dependence on global supply chains for many products, including essential ones, is not sustainable. As manufacturing grows domestically to meet these needs, I think it will be unlikely that post-Covid-19, it will move back offshore. Thus production will become more national. At the same time, so will be consumptions as there will be distrust of foreign products and goods. With increase distrust, I expect global holiday travel to diminish and reversion to domestic trips. With this move, I see the world moving into groups under different spheres of influence, i.e., U.S., European, China, Russia. This will lead to a Cold War 2.0 as there will be distrust and cyber and information war between the key players in these influences. I also see more proxy wars between these spheres in different countries.
The end of the American Leadership Era and Welcome to the Chinese Era.
Following the outbreak in Wuhan, President Xi and the party came under intense criticism for the failure to acknowledge the situation and deal with it. To protect the party’s rule, the main aim of the Chinese government, President Xi has found a scapegoat in President Trump. President Xi’s message, which is gaining lots of traction in China, is a combination of conspiracy theories, facts, and nationalism – an ideal combination. He is claiming that the disease was sent to China by the U.S. (conspiracy theory) and that China took extreme steps and sacrificed to stop it (true). These steps provided the West, chiefly the U.S., with time to protect against it (true). However, the failing U.S. didn’t do anything, and now is blaming China (true). Simultaneously, President Trump and some other populists senators are blaming China for everything, including covering up the Coronavirus, MERS and the Swine flu. While Covid-19 did originate from China and the Chinese government did cover it up initially, the Administration failed to deal with it until it was a crisis even though it received lots of warnings. MERS didn’t arise out of China, and the Swine flu originated out of the U.S. However, as the virus spreads and more countries are in trouble dealing with it, China is sending doctors and medical supplies to these countries, i.e., Italy and Serbia to help them with the crisis. These steps by China will attract more countries into the Chinese sphere of influence. President Trump’s America First Policy reflected in declaring a ban on European travel without notifying the Europeans first, and trying to buy the entire vaccine from a German company will further encourage countries to move towards China. Unless the numbers of cases in China start rising (which they might, and the government may not report), this move to China will grow. While the U.S. will emerge as the wealthiest and most influential country post-Covid-19, its global role may be over, and China’s emergence as the world leader may be guaranteed.
When it is an election year, even the Tea Party is Socialist.
After the Republican party’s condemnation of the Obama Administration spending post-2008, one would have expected more fiscal responsibility. However, the 2017 tax cut showed that to be a pipe dream. Now we are in an election year, and Secretary Mnuchin has pointed out that if the Federal Government does nothing, there could four million unemployed people by the end of April; the Republican Senate has found socialism. We are the verge of possibly $2 trillion or more in fiscal responses to the crisis, which includes bailouts (renamed) and benefits to many corporate interests, and few to the poor, so that these Senators maintain their seats. So much for the Tea Party! The debt hangover from the tax cut and Covid-19 will put the U.S. debt load far above any prior estimates and will be a hangover we will live with for a long time.
A rise in Authoritarianism and the Decline of Democracies.
Hungry has announced that its Justice Minister has sent a bill to Parliament that would:
- Declare State of emergency til the end of 2020;
- Rule by decree;
- Suspend Parliament;
- Ban snap elections/referendums, and
- Punish the spreading of fake news and rumors with up to 5 years in prison.
We can expect all wannabe dictators and many authoritarian regimes to follow suit.
The end of the Mall.
Simon Properties, one of the largest mall owners in the U.S., closed all its malls until the end of the month. With the restrictions growing, more people will shop online or from local smaller shops which are less crowded. There are estimates that once Covid-19 is over, Amazon could account for 12-15% of retail sales. Walmart and Costco maybe the other two players who come out this more robust than they went it. When restrictions are lifted, how many consumers will return to the malls? I am not sure, but I expect this may be the event that killed them.
Increased siloing of communities.
As we move into our social distancing, we are likely to communicate only with those that are like us. This behavior is what we self-select, and Facebook encourages, and we self-select. Furthermore, we are unlikely to meet anyone, unlike ourselves, as the chance of random meetings diminishes. The result of all this will increase the siloing of Americans, which will increase stereotyping and non-acceptance of the “other.” America as the great melting pot may be over.
Development of diagnostic wearables.
There will be significant efforts to improve and produce diagnostic wearables. I would expect this market to take off and be used by governments to limit travelers to their countries before departure by checking to ensure that the passenger has no diseases they don’t want—real-time data vs. the old immunization certificates. Real-time is far superior, and if the data is from wearables, not intrusive.
A rise in Religious Fundamentalism
At a time of great uncertainty and danger, people will turn to something that gives them hope, religion. However, it is a time when there will be a rise in religious fundamentalism as its strict beliefs will be easier to follow and separate us. This will lead to great friction and terrorism.
Recent Posts
Align and Thrive: The Importance of Organizational Alignment and Agility
Discover the importance of organizational alignment and agility in this blog post. Learn how establishing a strong CORE and building a strategy around it can lead to sustainable growth and success. Find out how alignment and agility empower your organization to thrive in an ever-changing business landscape.
How to Achieve Smart Time Management: 10 Tips for Busy Professionals
When you are a busy professional running your own business, it can often feel like there aren’t enough hours in the day to accomplish everything. Being strategic with your time is the best (and possibly the only) way to achieve all of your daily tasks. If you are...
5 Strategic Leadership Skills Every Manager Needs
So often, people view leadership as a talent: you’re either born with this quality or you’re not. However, this is not always the case! In reality, good leadership is made up of skills, and anyone can learn how to improve. Some people may pick up leadership attributes...
How the Sellability Score is Calculated: The Ultimate Guide
Do you have questions about how to calculate your business’s sellability score? Whether you’re looking to sell your business in the near future or years from now, understanding your sellability score will help you thrive. The sellability score identifies the...
The Top 5 Benefits of the Entrepreneurial Operating System
As an entrepreneur running your own business, you know there are bumps in the road and struggles that both you and your business will face over time. However, with the right people and tools at your disposal, you can anticipate what’s coming, plan for it, and continue...
5 Ways to Use Email Automation to Boost Traffic
Every single business in the world wants to evolve and grow. This will happen using a variety of techniques and strategies. In 2022, digital marketing is more than a household name, and most companies will adopt at least a few ideas when long-term planning and coming...
6 Questions To Ask A Potential Business Coach Before Hiring Them
Many entrepreneurs consider executive business coaching when they start struggling on their professional path. A small business coach is an experienced professional mentor who educates, supports, and motivates entrepreneurs. They will listen to your concerns, assess...
3 Ways Proper Long Term Strategic Planning Helps Your Business
Dreams turn into goals when they have a foundation of long-term strategic planning supporting them. They become reality when the ensuing strategic implementation plan is executed properly. With Kaizen Solutions as their strategic planning consultant, small and...
What is a Peer Group, and How Can it Improve Your Career?
If you are a CEO or key executive who has come to a crossroads or crisis in your career, you'll gain valuable insights and solutions from a peer group connection more than anywhere else. But what is a peer group, and how can that statement be made with so much...
Profit and Revenue are Lousy Core Values
As I mentioned last week, I am down with COVID and tired, so spending more time reading rather than working. I read Bill Browder's Freezing Order this weekend, and I highly recommend it. However, at the end of the book, Browder says that oligarchs, autocrats, and...
buy levitra canada
cialis what is it
viagra levitra order
cialis generic timeline 2018
buy cialis online overnight delivery
tadalafil 25mg
order levitra pills
buy levitra internet
buy online levitra usa
cialis paypal australia
cheap viagra cialis levitra
cialis commercial 2016
sildenafil interactions with alcohol
sildenafil citrate tablets 100mg how to use
viagra vipps pharmacy
After checking out a few of the blog articles on your web page, I honestly like your way of blogging. I added it to my bookmark website list and will be checking back soon. Please check out my web site as well and let me know how you feel.
meijer pharmacy generic lipitor
viagra super active
sildenafil expiration
cialis buy online pharmacy
friday plans sildenafil
does sildenafil make you bigger
percocet price pharmacy
target pharmacy azithromycin
tramadol indian pharmacy
tramadol pharmacy price
how does sildenafil work
sildenafil good rx
cialis tadalafil & dapoxetine
tadalafil 20mg online reliable
vardenafil cialis
vardenafil 40 mg tablets
vardenafil 20 mg tablets
what is vardenafil
buy tadalafil online paypal
tamsulosin vs. tadalafil
buy canadian drugs online
legitimate canadian pharmacies online
Hey I am so grateful I found your web site, I really found you by error, while I was searching on Bing for something else, Nonetheless I am here now and would just like to say cheers for a marvelous post and a all round thrilling blog (I also love the theme/design), I dont have time to browse it all at the minute but I have saved it and also included your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read a lot more, Please do keep up the fantastic b.
buy tadalafil cheap
tadalafil 20mg (generic equivalent to cialis)
I visited several web sites except the audio quality for audio songs present at this site is really fabulous.
Hello there! Do you know if they make any plugins to help with SEO? I’m trying to get my blog to rank for some targeted keywords but I’m not seeing very good results. If you know of any please share. Thanks!
I’m really enjoying the design and layout of your blog. It’s a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more enjoyable for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a designer to create your theme? Excellent work!
mambo 36 tadalafil
cialis tadalafil 10mg tablets
vardenafil hcl
vardenafil bodybuilding
Please let me know if you’re looking for a article author for your site. You have some really great posts and I think I would be a good asset. If you ever want to take some of the load off, I’d absolutely love to write some articles for your blog in exchange for a link back to mine. Please send me an e-mail if interested. Cheers!
arava price pharmacy
free tamiflu pharmacy
Keflex
best online tramadol pharmacy
lortab 10 pharmacy price
publix pharmacy wellbutrin
reliable online canadian pharmacy
Hey there! I’m at work browsing your blog from my new iphone 3gs! Just wanted to say I love reading your blog and look forward to all your posts! Keep up the outstanding work!
tesco artane pharmacy
zyprexa online pharmacy
buy online pharmacy
lorazepam pharmacy
worldwide pharmacy kamagra
lansoprazole online pharmacy
Fosamax
colcrys pharmacy
approved canadian pharmacies online
An intriguing discussion is worth comment. I do believe that you should write more on this issue, it might not be a taboo subject but usually people do not speak about such subjects. To the next! Cheers!!
pharmacy without dr prescriptions
pin up azerbaijan: pin-up cazino – pin up yukle
pin up onlayn kazino https://azerbaijancuisine.com/# pin up az
pin up
canadian drugstore online
I got this web site from my pal who informed me concerning this site and now this time I am visiting this site and reading very informative articles or reviews at this place.
Howdy! This is kind of off topic but I need some advice from an established blog. Is it hard to set up your own blog? I’m not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty fast. I’m thinking about setting up my own but I’m not sure where to start. Do you have any points or suggestions? Thank you
mexico drug stores pharmacies
https://cmqpharma.online/# buying prescription drugs in mexico
mexican mail order pharmacies
mexico drug stores pharmacies: mexican pharmacy – pharmacies in mexico that ship to usa
mexico drug stores pharmacies: online mexican pharmacy – mexico pharmacy
mexican rx online
http://cmqpharma.com/# mexican rx online
reputable mexican pharmacies online
Wow, this post is pleasant, my sister is analyzing such things, so I am going to inform her.
Good article and straight to the point. I am not sure if this is actually the best place to ask but do
you folks have any thoughts on where to employ some professional writers?
Thanks in advance 🙂 Escape room lista
Строительство автомойки под ключ – это выгодное вложение средств для начинающих предпринимателей. Компания берет на себя все этапы работ: от разработки проекта до запуска готового бизнеса.
Строительство автомойки требует знаний и опыта. Наша команда профессионалов поможет реализовать вашу мечту в жизнь.
Very interesting topic, regards for putting up.!
1Хотите собственное дело с низкими инвестициями? Попробуйте автомойку самообслуживания под ключ – новый формат быстрой очистки автомобилей.
1Хотите собственное дело с низкими инвестициями? Попробуйте автомойку самообслуживания под ключ – новый формат быстрой очистки автомобилей.
Преимущество строительства автомойки под ключ заключается в оперативности запуска проекта и минимизации забот для заказчика, так как исполнитель берет на себя все этапы работ.
mexico drug stores pharmacies: cmq pharma – medicine in mexico pharmacies
medication from mexico pharmacy
https://cmqpharma.online/# mexican rx online
mexico drug stores pharmacies
mexican pharmaceuticals online
https://cmqpharma.online/# best online pharmacies in mexico
best online pharmacies in mexico
Hi there i am kavin, its my first time to commenting anywhere, when i read this post i thought i could also make comment due to this sensible piece of writing.
Строительство автомойки под ключ – это удобный способ получить готовый бизнес без хлопот. Мы предоставляем полный пакет услуг, от проектирования до запуска.
“Автомойка самообслуживания под ключ” – оптимизированная, экологичная и прибыльная модель бизнеса. Вкладывайтесь в современные решения с нами!
Предлагаем строительство автомоек под ключ по индивидуальным проектам. Все работы выполняются в срок и с гарантией.
Приобретая франшизу автомойки, вы получаете проверенную модель бизнеса с полным комплектом оборудования и постоянной поддержкой франчайзера.
Предлагаем строительство автомоек под ключ для вашего бизнеса. Всё будет выполнено быстро, качественно и по конкурентоспособным ценам.
Мойка самообслуживания под ключ — это удобно и выгодно. Оборудование европейского качества обеспечит стабильную прибыль.
https://indiapharmast.com/# reputable indian pharmacies
п»їlegitimate online pharmacies india: п»їlegitimate online pharmacies india – п»їlegitimate online pharmacies india
buying prescription drugs in mexico online [url=http://foruspharma.com/#]mexican rx online[/url] п»їbest mexican online pharmacies
india pharmacy mail order: cheapest online pharmacy india – indian pharmacies safe
buying prescription drugs in mexico online: mexico pharmacy – medicine in mexico pharmacies
https://canadapharmast.online/# onlinepharmaciescanada com
mexican pharmaceuticals online [url=https://foruspharma.com/#]mexican border pharmacies shipping to usa[/url] buying prescription drugs in mexico
purple pharmacy mexico price list: pharmacies in mexico that ship to usa – mexican rx online
best india pharmacy: reputable indian online pharmacy – indianpharmacy com
safe canadian pharmacy: canadian world pharmacy – canadian pharmacy reviews
indian pharmacy online [url=http://indiapharmast.com/#]india online pharmacy[/url] reputable indian pharmacies
canadian pharmacy mall: canadian pharmacy 24 – canadian pharmacy meds review
Your style is unique in comparison to other folks I’ve read stuff from. Thanks for posting when you’ve got the opportunity, Guess I’ll just bookmark this page.
https://foruspharma.com/# medication from mexico pharmacy
india pharmacy: indian pharmacies safe – india online pharmacy
india online pharmacy: Online medicine home delivery – top online pharmacy india
reputable mexican pharmacies online [url=https://foruspharma.com/#]mexico drug stores pharmacies[/url] buying prescription drugs in mexico
canada pharmacy online legit: escrow pharmacy canada – canadian pharmacy 365
mexico pharmacy: buying prescription drugs in mexico online – mexican pharmacy
You’re so awesome! I don’t think I have read through something like that before. So good to discover somebody with genuine thoughts on this subject matter. Seriously.. thanks for starting this up. This site is one thing that’s needed on the internet, someone with a little originality.
can you buy cheap clomid without prescription: where to buy generic clomid without prescription – how to buy cheap clomid no prescription
https://ciprodelivery.pro/# cipro ciprofloxacin
There is certainly a great deal to know about this subject. I like all the points you made.
https://amoxildelivery.pro/# amoxicillin without prescription
where to get amoxicillin over the counter [url=http://amoxildelivery.pro/#]buying amoxicillin online[/url] price of amoxicillin without insurance
This website was… how do I say it? Relevant!! Finally I have found something which helped me. Cheers.
http://ciprodelivery.pro/# cipro ciprofloxacin
paxlovid generic: paxlovid price – paxlovid generic
http://amoxildelivery.pro/# amoxicillin 875 mg tablet
Paxlovid over the counter [url=https://paxloviddelivery.pro/#]Paxlovid buy online[/url] paxlovid generic
I truly love your site.. Very nice colors & theme. Did you make this website yourself? Please reply back as I’m attempting to create my own personal site and want to learn where you got this from or exactly what the theme is named. Thank you.
http://amoxildelivery.pro/# can i buy amoxicillin over the counter in australia
I needed to thank you for this wonderful read!! I absolutely loved every bit of it. I have you book-marked to check out new things you post…
http://ciprodelivery.pro/# cipro 500mg best prices
buy amoxicillin online uk [url=https://amoxildelivery.pro/#]where to buy amoxicillin[/url] amoxacillian without a percription
order amoxicillin no prescription: amoxicillin without a prescription – amoxicillin brand name
http://clomiddelivery.pro/# can i purchase clomid no prescription
I’m amazed, I have to admit. Seldom do I come across a blog that’s both equally educative and amusing, and let me tell you, you have hit the nail on the head. The problem is something that too few people are speaking intelligently about. Now i’m very happy I stumbled across this in my hunt for something concerning this.
https://ciprodelivery.pro/# ciprofloxacin 500 mg tablet price
buy doxycycline mexico [url=http://doxycyclinedelivery.pro/#]doxycycline brand name canada[/url] buy doxycycline south africa
https://paxloviddelivery.pro/# paxlovid pill
The very next time I read a blog, I hope that it doesn’t disappoint me as much as this particular one. After all, Yes, it was my choice to read, but I actually thought you would have something useful to say. All I hear is a bunch of crying about something that you could possibly fix if you were not too busy looking for attention.
Paxlovid buy online: Paxlovid buy online – paxlovid pharmacy
I truly love your site.. Very nice colors & theme. Did you create this web site yourself? Please reply back as I’m hoping to create my own personal website and would like to learn where you got this from or exactly what the theme is called. Thanks!
http://clomiddelivery.pro/# can you buy generic clomid price
https://amoxildelivery.pro/# 875 mg amoxicillin cost
doxycycline 100mg tablets nz [url=https://doxycyclinedelivery.pro/#]doxycycline antibiotic[/url] doxycycline 100mg cost
Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you writing this post and the rest of the site is also really good.
I truly love your blog.. Great colors & theme. Did you make this website yourself? Please reply back as I’m looking to create my own personal site and would love to find out where you got this from or what the theme is called. Kudos!
I really like it when folks get together and share thoughts. Great website, continue the good work!
https://doxycyclinedelivery.pro/# doxycycline hyclate 100 mg capsules
doxycycline pharmacy singapore: how to get doxycycline without prescription – doxycycline no script
http://paxloviddelivery.pro/# paxlovid buy
buy cipro online canada [url=https://ciprodelivery.pro/#]buy ciprofloxacin[/url] ciprofloxacin order online
There’s certainly a lot to learn about this subject. I love all the points you made.
When I initially left a comment I seem to have clicked the -Notify me when new comments are added- checkbox and from now on whenever a comment is added I recieve four emails with the same comment. Is there a means you can remove me from that service? Kudos.
https://paxloviddelivery.pro/# paxlovid india
https://paxloviddelivery.pro/# п»їpaxlovid
paxlovid buy [url=https://paxloviddelivery.pro/#]paxlovid pharmacy[/url] paxlovid for sale
cheap clomid: clomid tablet – can you buy cheap clomid without insurance
This is a topic that’s close to my heart… Many thanks! Where are your contact details though?
http://doxycyclinedelivery.pro/# doxycycline 20
buy amoxicillin canada: amoxicillin script – where can i buy amoxicillin without prec
A fascinating discussion is definitely worth comment. I do think that you need to publish more on this issue, it may not be a taboo subject but typically people don’t talk about such subjects. To the next! Best wishes.
Hello there, I believe your web site could be having internet browser compatibility issues. Whenever I look at your website in Safari, it looks fine however, if opening in I.E., it has some overlapping issues. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up! Aside from that, wonderful site!
Everything is very open with a really clear clarification of the issues. It was really informative. Your site is very useful. Thank you for sharing!
This website was… how do you say it? Relevant!! Finally I’ve found something which helped me. Thanks a lot.
cost of generic clomid pill: can you get clomid now – order cheap clomid now
Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you penning this post and the rest of the site is really good.
You are so awesome! I don’t suppose I have read through a single thing like that before. So wonderful to discover another person with original thoughts on this issue. Seriously.. thank you for starting this up. This site is something that’s needed on the internet, someone with a little originality.
I would like to thank you for the efforts you have put in writing this website. I really hope to view the same high-grade content by you in the future as well. In fact, your creative writing abilities has motivated me to get my own, personal site now 😉
Pretty! This was an incredibly wonderful article. Thank you for supplying this information.
I’m very happy to discover this site. I wanted to thank you for ones time due to this wonderful read!! I definitely appreciated every bit of it and I have you book marked to check out new information on your web site.
Hi, I do think this is a great web site. I stumbledupon it 😉 I’m going to revisit once again since i have bookmarked it. Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to guide others.
I used to be able to find good info from your content.
I like it when folks come together and share ideas. Great site, continue the good work.
Pretty! This was an incredibly wonderful post. Thank you for providing these details.